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The Economy

We produce and compile research and data on the overall economy, banking and financial markets. Our goal is to help financial institutions operate in a safe manner and support a robust U.S. financial system.

A Quantitative Model for Mapping the Consequences of Public Housing Demolitions

Research in Focus — Using Chicago’s housing stock as the basis for a quantitative model, the authors reveal the household-level economic consequences of demolishing public housing.

Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index

An index designed to track real business conditions at high observation frequency

Monetary Policy

Working Paper

Price-Level Determination Under the Gold Standard

WP 24-06 – How does an economy behave in a historical environment where gold is the international monetary standard? We find that key features of this monetary system are long-run price stability and the nonneutrality of money in the short run.

Macroeconomics

Working Paper

Inference Based on Time-Varying SVARs Identified with Sign Restrictions

WP 24-05 – We propose a new methodology for causal inference in time-varying structural vector autoregressions. We illustrate our approach for inference by analyzing the role played by monetary policy during the latest inflation surge.

Event

Apr

18-19

2024

Inaugural Fintech and Financial Institutions Research Conference

Paper Submission Deadline: December 15, 2023

Macroeconomics

Working Paper

The Changing Polarization of Party Ideologies: The Role of Sorting

WP 24-04 – History shows that when political parties become more polarized along one dimension of policy, they become less polarized along some other dimension. We explain how this can happen via changes in the ideological make up parties.

Measuring the Effects of a Carbon Tax

Economic Insights — Climate change poses risks to our economy, but how the government responds to climate change carries risks, too.